Restaurant operator CKE Restaurants (NYSE: CKR) reported first-quarter earnings of 26 cents per share after the closing bell yesterday. While the results were five cents shy of last year's results, they topped the consensus estimate by a penny per share. Quarterly revenue totaled $446.8 million, far better than the Street's estimate calling for $343.1 million.
The company also announced that same-store sales dropped 5.2% during the latest four-week period. At the company's Carl's Jr. restaurants, sales dropped 7.1%, while Hardee's saw a drop of 2.7%.
CKE Restaurants (NYSE: CKR), owner of the Carl's Jr. and Hardee's brands, reported earnings for the third quarter on Wednesday. The top line fell a little over 4%, coming in at $336.6 million. On a diluted basis, the bottom line cooked up $0.10 per share. That was a penny less than what was earned last year, but the company did manage to meet Wall Street's expectations.
Moving away from total sales and net income, let's look at the all-important same-store sales results. For the third quarter, comps for both CKE brands on a blended basis rose 0.9% according to the earnings release. An earlier press release focusing on same-store sales in November, had comps increasing by 0.3% on a blended basis. Year-to-date, blended comps moved 1.9% higher. When you compare these changes to their respective year-ago periods, you'll see that CKE isn't really doing gangbuster business.
I find neither the earnings numbers nor the sales figures particularly compelling. Management seems to think that the dreadful economic crisis we're facing is mostly responsible. Hey, it certainly isn't helping, and I sympathize with CKE's challenges during the credit crisis. Yet, I'd have to respectfully suggest that management get out there and get some hardcore marketing efforts going. When sales are down, you need to up the ante when it comes to branding and convincing patrons to come through your door. These comps are pretty weak and unattractive. They can be pushed higher with some innovative, creative campaigns.
With the economy in the toilet, a lot of people are reluctant to go and spend big on restaurant cuisine.
By itself that would be a good reason not to invest in restaurant companies. But restaurant stocks have been absolutely smoked of late, so you have to wonder how much of the bad news is already priced in. Take a look:
DineEquity (NYSE: DIN), parent company of IHOP and Applbee's: closed on Friday at $11.13, 83% off its 52-week high.
CKE Restaurants (NYSE: CKR), parent company of Carl Jr.'s and Hardee's: closed Friday at $8.88, 47% off its 52-week high.
Starbucks (NASDAQ: SBUX): closed Friday at $11.08, 59% off its 52-week high.
With very few exceptions, restaurant stocks have been pulvarized of late. It's true that the bad times may last awhile longer but in the grand scheme of things, a few quarters -- or even a few years -- of poor sales and earnings have very little bearing on the creation of long-term shareholder value. That is if a company is well-capitalized and has little leverage.
I think bargain hunters who buy and hold restaurant stocks trading at low price/earnings ratios with very little debt and strong brands will do quite well here.
One stock to avoid: DineEquity, which trashed its balance sheet with the Applebee's acquisition and may have to head back to the market to raise cash at the expense of current shareholders. The Wall Street Journalreports (subscription required) on unprecedented promotions and store closings for some leading chains.
With closings and consolidation, well-managed companies with good balance sheets should come out of this mess OK, and investors who get in at depressed prices should prosper.
This post is part of our Ads Gone Bad series. Share your thoughts and memories of this ad in the comments, and be sure to check out our other posts on marketing gone wrong.
In 2005, CKE Restaurants Inc. (NYSE: CKR) outraged both social conservatives and lovers of music at the same time when its Carl's Jr. chain hired Paris Hilton to shill its new Spicy Burger. It set a new standard of tastelessness that will be difficult to equal.
Conservatives -- most Americans actually -- find the fact that Paris Hilton is famous at all to be a offensive. Her main claim to fame comes from her appearance in a now-infamous sex tape. The appeal of her one-time hit show TheSimple Life eluded me, but hey, I was not the target demographic. I am a 40-year-old married guy so I can't speak to her numerous other enterprises, such as the perfume Heiress. Her single "Stars Are Blind" was not as awful as I thought it would be, but maybe I have gone tone deaf listening to too many Elmo songs. Parents of toddlers will understand.
Here's a quick recap of some additional earnings reports on Wednesday.
Beaverton, Ore.-based Nike Inc. (NYSE: NKE) said strong growth overseas helped boost its fourth-quarter profit by 12% to $490.5 million, or 98 cents per share. Analysts polled by Thomson Financial expected the company to earn 96 cents per share for the quarter. Shares fell more than 5% in after-hours trading to $62.15.
CKE Restaurants Inc. (NYSE: CKR) said its first-quarter profit climbed 8% to $16.6 million, or 31 cents per share, helped by a small increase in same-store sales at Carl's Jr. restaurants. Revenue fell 3% to $466.2 million. Analysts polled by Thomson Financial expected profit of 27 cents per share on revenue of $465.5 million. Shares fell 5 cents to $12.25 in after-hours trading.
Red Hat Inc. (NYSE: RHT) said its fiscal first-quarter profit rose 6.6% to $17.3 million, or 8 cents per share. Adjusted earnings were 18 cents per share. Revenue rose 32% to $156.6 million. Analysts polled by Thomson Financial on average predicted a profit of 18 cents per share on revenue of $153 million. Shares fell 19 cents in after-hours trading to $22.11.
General Mills Inc. (NYSE: GIS) said its fourth-quarter profit dropped 17% to $185.2 million, or 53 cents per share. Adjusted earnings were 73 cents per share, which met Wall Street expectations. Sales increased 13% to $3.47 billion beating expectations. The company reaffirmed its guidance for the full year. Shares fell almost 2% to $61.19.
CKE Restaurants (NYSE: CKR) reported earnings for the fourth quarter yesterday after the bell. Total revenue decreased 3% for the quarter, and net income from continuing operations was $0.00 per diluted share, which wasn't too good in comparison to last year's number, which was $0.17 per diluted share. Total revenue was flat for the year, and net income from continuing operations was $0.57 per diluted share versus $0.77 per diluted share in the previous fiscal year.
CKE Restaurants, which operates the Carl's Jr. and Hardee's brands, did not impress analysts, as earnings expectations for the quarter were missed by two pennies. I myself wasn't too impressed with the entire report. Same-store sales increased 0.9% at Carl's Jr. and 2% at Hardee's for 2007 -- I'm not going to jump up and down over that bit of news. In addition, costs are up because of inflationary pressures, and revenues have obviously been challenged. There's not a lot that I like about this story.
CKE's stock is certainly on the lower end of its 52-week range, but I can't say it is necessarily cheap; it closed yesterday at $12.45 -- the high for the year on the stock is $23.24. This is a situation that calls for an old standby: "There are better opportunities out there in this space." For me personally, if I'm looking at the burger business, I'm way more likely to consider a McDonald's (NYSE: MCD), a Burger King (NYSE: BKC), or a Wendy's (NYSE: WEN) before I entertain CKE as an investment idea. Although they don't do burgers (so far as I know), I'd even look at a Yum! Brands (NYSE: YUM) before CKE. These companies have better brand equities in my estimation. CKE may turn itself around, but I just wasn't impressed by my look at its data.
Disclosure: I own none of the companies mentioned here; positions can change at any time.
In the battle of the fast food restaurants, it's hardly ever about taste or service or quality: it's all about perception (and as my former car salesman boss says, perception is reality). So when I saw the news this week about how CKE Restaurants (NYSE: CKR) restaurants, Hardee's and Carl's Jr., have agreed to start purchasing a very small percentage of their pork and eggs from cage-free animals, I was wowed at the headlines. "Cage-free eggs!" an email from a colleague read.
Why is this the funnest news all month? Because of the very famous pin-up girls involved in the dispute. Paris Hilton is, after all, famous for her extremely sexy Carl's Jr. ads (I'd venture to say they are the pinnacle of her sordid career). Alicia Silverstone has made headlines with her racy PETA ads that were pulled off the air thanks to their nearly-naked nature. So in the cage match between Paris Hilton and Alicia Silverstone, I could have called it: smart Alicia whooped Paris' lingerie-clad booty with a (slightly happier) hen.
While People For the Ethical Treatment of Animals attracts a lot of flack (not to mention a South Park episode) for its perceived "militancy", the organization should be commended for its latest coup. According to the Associated Press, CKE Restaurants (NYSE: CKR) will begin purchasing eggs and pork from suppliers who do not keep their livestock in cages or crates. The concessions may seem relatively modest, but CKE is just the second chain to adopt these standards after Burger King (NYSE: BKC) made similar changes in March. The chain will:
Stocks moved mildly lower today taking a break from the bullish buying over the last two days. This is not really a bad sign, after all the S&P 500 gained 3.5% Tuesday and Wednesday so losing 0.67% today still leaves it up 2.8% since the Fed cut. September equity options expire tomorrow so we may see some some extra volatility gong into the end of the week.
The NYSE had volume of 3.0 billion shares with 978 shares advancing while 2,331 declined for a loss of 34.43 points to close at 9,936.47. On the NASDAQ, 1.6 billion shares traded, 1,131 advanced and 1,864 declined for a loss of 12.19 to 2,654.29.
In options there were 5.8 million puts and 7.7 million calls traded for a put/call open interest ratio of 0.75. The most active options lists were almost completely filled with ETF and index options. S&P Depositary Receipts Trust ETF (NYSE: SPY) saw very heavy volume on the September 150 calls (SYHIT) with over 643,800 options trading. The SPY September 149 calls (SFBIS) also had a lot of activity moving 300,400 contracts. Financial Sector SPDR ETF (NYSE: XLF) were again active; the September 33 calls (XLFIG) with over 171,900 options trading. PowerShares QQQ Trust ETF (NASDAQ: QQQQ) saw heavy volume on the March 45 puts (QQQOS) with over 199,800 options trading and the March 48 puts (QQQOV) moved 180,500 options trading. .
Kevin Kersten is an Options Analyst with InvestorsObserver.com. Disclosure note: Mr. Kersten owns and or controls a diversified portfolio of long and short positions that may include holdings in companies he writes about.
These are the times that try investors' souls, or so Thomas Paine might have put it had he been a money manager. There is scary news all around -- the credit markets are seizing up, mortgage-backed securities are plummeting in value, even Wal-Mart Stores (NYSE: WMT) and Home Depot (NYSE: HD) have expressed worry lately that the stalwart American consumer is losing her resolve to spend.
Yet no sooner do investors panic and sell their stocks, than the market gets some relief. Central bankers around the world step in with billions in short-term loans, giving the debt markets some wiggle room. Or a hot growth company provides some upbeat news -- VMware's hot initial public offering on Aug. 14 was a nice respite from all the bearishness, for example. Or investors just start to realize there are lots of great companies getting much cheaper while the economy really is still humming along just fine.
Suddenly the Dow Jones industrial average will leap 50 points in an hour and we are left kicking ourselves for not picking up some shares of a favorite stock while it was down -- until the next market swoon when we wonder why we didn't get out when the gettin' was good.
Restaurant operator 
With the economy in the toilet, a lot of people are reluctant to go and spend big on restaurant cuisine.
This post is part of our 
While People For the Ethical Treatment of Animals attracts a lot of flack (not to mention a South Park episode) for its perceived "militancy", the organization should be commended for its latest coup.
Stocks moved mildly lower today taking a break from the bullish buying over the last two days. This is not really a bad sign, after all the S&P 500 gained 3.5% Tuesday and Wednesday so losing 0.67% today still leaves it up 2.8% since the Fed cut. September equity options expire tomorrow so we may see some some extra volatility gong into the end of the week. 
These are the times that try investors' souls, or so Thomas Paine might have put it had he been a money manager. There is scary news all around -- the credit markets are seizing up, mortgage-backed securities are plummeting in value, even 
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